Climate Projections Downscaling and Impact Assessment on Precipitation over Upper Bagmati River basin, Nepal
by B. K. Mishra* and S. Herath
- Study assesses climate change impact on upper Bagmati river basin's precipitation patterns.
- Uses high-resolution GCM precipitation data from the Meteorological Research Institute.
- Compares observed and GCM precipitation data to identify biases.
- Downscaling and bias correction employed to adjust GCM data for future climate period.
- Analysis indicates significant increase in annual precipitation in the future.
- Monsoon precipitation expected to increase, while other months may experience a decrease.
- More frequent heavy precipitation events projected in the future.
- Implications for water supply, sanitation, farming, and stormwater/flood management systems.
